Metal Gear Solid 4 Must Sell 1 Million Day One To Justify Cost
11.29.07
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Payton said the new “Metal Gear Solid” needs to sell over a million copies on the first day it goes on sale due to its costly production, but that may be a tough mark to hit given sluggish PS3 sales.
For this to happen Sony would need a miracle as high profile first part titles are hardly selling right now. To see this all you have to do is look at the sales data for Uncharted and Ratchet & Clank Future, which are Sony’s big holiday exclusives. According to VGChartz both have only sold 0.13m and 0.22m respectively after several weeks of release. Either the PS3 install base has to increase by huge leaps and bounds by MGS4’s Spring 2008 release or they need to go multiplatform.
More interesting information from the article:
Top next-generation video games cost between $10 million and $50 million, according to IDC videogame analyst Billy Pidgeon. That means publishers must hedge their bets by going onto as many platforms as possible.
“You might be able to weather one title coming in at 500,000 in sales,” said Pidgeon. “But two or three failures like that and even big publishers are going to be hurting.”
Via Reuters


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I will def. pre-order this game…MGS is the best series ever.
Yah, that’s right.
That’s because from 2nd day onward, all the sales don’t make money right?
Sarcasm aside, I understand making game is serious business, but saying a game need to sell a certain number within the first day is just pure sensationalism.
I don’t know if it will reach the 1 mil sales mark but I’m actually waiting to buy a PS3 until this game comes out. It’s one of a handful of games that I’m buying the PS3 for.
so if they sold 500,000 copies the first two days the release would be a failure? Give me a break…
yeah right thats an attach rate of about 20% ON THE FIRST DAY.
Halo 3 is only 50%
First day sales are a good indicative of what’s going to happen next. If a title doesn’t sell well on release day, It probably won’t sell any better from day 2 on.
I’ll tell you how you can make your million….port it to the 360.
How can I trust any site that replaces an ’s’ with a ‘z’??? Please.
i dont think a company would push a game if they had to sell 1 million copies in a day. I believe sony hires real accountants, instead of a bunch gamers on TI-89’s
Im going to buy this game on day 2 just out of spite.
@ Bob:
VGChartz is the actual name of the website that monitors sales of games and consoles. You fail. They didn’t replace the ’s’ with the ‘z’.
Oh yeah, I’m going to buy it on the third day it comes out.
-Showed you!
The 1,000,000 Figure is abviously a over exaggeration. They don’t honestly think they can nor would they sell 1,000,000 copies on day one. It is merely an example of what they would need to sell to turn a profit on the PS3 without jumping multiplatform, which inevitably they will need to do as it is.
Some of you are so dense.
Its just payton trying to slowly work in the fact that they are doomed if they stay on PS3… .. they will take the money from sony for staying a exclusive for a month or so.. then port it to PC and Xbox360.. just u wait.
did i mention SONY is fucked… lawl.. most of the new PS3 sales are for BLueray NOT GAMES!!.. they could aford to sell the PS2 on DVD use only beacuse they where not selling it as a Loss this time around SONY now is selling PS3 at a loss… sure they will win the format war but not the gaming format war.. its all over… it was already over 6months before PS3 came out.. . the past 4 months have just be a brutal over the top pwnage as a result of bad PS3 reception with games lagging and looking like crap on the PS3 beacuse even the devs know the sistem is close to dead..
PS3 games even the ones that rock ass are not selling to any more than 5% of the install base any way.. and they are some of the best gameS out atm!!.. MGS4 will suffer exactly the same.
The problem that you mentioned is very common in the game industry.
Publishers and studios are very dependable to create profitable games, because of their high cost for marketing and development which is a double risk for them.
Forcing them to go multiplatform? Sweet idea! I’ll cancel my PS3 pre-order and wait for the XBox 360 version!
Just kidding, I don’t own a PS3 and I don’t care about MGS4.
Heath, the problem with Blu ray is, it now looks like the HD format war will have no winner. Right now both formats will survive the near future, and unless Blu ray manufactures can actually start turning a profit, which thanks to Sony is not possible due to them taking slight losses (around $50 a unit) on their stand alone BD player and major losses on the PS3 (about $125 a unit) all the other manufacturers are having to drop the price of their players just to compeat meaning they are not getting the RoI (Return on Investment) back at all.